Article Published: Thursday 4 October 2012
Edited by: Rugbyweek.com.
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New Zealand’s All Blacks have won their last 15 Test matches and have not lost since they played the South Africa’s Springbok in Port Elizabeth this time last year.
The All Black team that South Africa beat last year in Port Elizabeth was not a full strength All Black team as they were rotating their squad ahead of the Rugby World Cup.
South Africa will start the match with some confidence after they beat the Wallabies in Perth last weekend although it should not be forgotten that the Wallabies had been heavily hit by injury and also were erroneously forced to finish the match with 14 players.
The Springboks will also be boosted by the knowledge that they will be playing again under the control of the same referee as last week Alain Rolland – who the IRB have now admitted he was mistaken to have prevented the Wallabies from making a replacement.
Rolland was also the match referee for South Africa’s 2nd Test match against England earlier this year the Springboks will be very familiar with him as this will be their third Test under him in four months.
The All Blacks however will start the match full of confidence as they hammered Argentina last week and scored seven tries against the Pumas. By half time the All Blacks had secured the bonus point for scoring four tries – against a team who had previously not conceded a try in the first half in the Rugby Championship.
The All Blacks victory over Argentina secured the inaugural Rugby Championship title so the All Blacks are now playing not only for pride but also to break the record for the number of consecutive Tests without loss. (Lithuania set a world record of 18 successive test wins after beating Serbia 77-5)
Out of the last six matches between these teams the All Blacks have won five but before the six most recent matches the Springboks went three matches unbeaten.
Overall the Springboks and the All Blacks have played each other 84 times and the Springboks have won 41% of the matches with 34 wins, 3 draws and 47 losses.
In South Africa the teams have played each other 43 times and South Africa have won 24 matches or 56% of the matches and lost 18 times for a 42 percent losing percentage. There was one draw.
In TriNations history for matches played in South Africa between the teams the All Blacks surprisingly have the better record as 18 matches have been played and the Springboks have won 44% of their home matches and lost 56%.
The teams have only played each other once before at this weekend’s venue and the last time was in 2010 and the All Blacks scored two late tries (by Richie McCaw and Israel Dagg) and won 22-29 in Soweto.
The Bookies have given South Africa a 5 point start for this match – with an offer of Bet 5 and Get 50 in Bets. The Springboks might be at home and have familiarity with the referee but the All Blacks are the only team to have won in the Rugby Championship away from home this season. They have wrapped up the title with a game to spare and are clearly the form team. We are going bold on this one as we think the All Blacks win will this by 10.
This match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 1/HD.
Average score: South Africa 15 New Zealand 19
Average score in SA : South Africa 18 New Zealand 18
Last five results
15 Sep 2012 SAF v NZL 11-21 Otago Stadium, Dunedin
20 Aug 2011 SAF v NZL 18-5 N. Mandela Bay, Pt Elizabeth
30 Jul 2011 SAF v NZL 7-40 Westpac Trust, Wellington
21 Aug 2010 SAF v NZL 22-29 National Stadium, Soweto
17 Jul 2010 SAF v NZL 17-31 Westpac Trust, Wellington
South Africa’s overall record against New Zealand
Played 84 , Wins 34 Losses 47, Draws 3
Match :South Africa v New Zealand
Date : 6 Oct
Venue : FNB Stadium, Soweto
Kick Off local: 17:00
Referee: A. Rolland (IRFU)
Assistant Ref 1:R. Poite (FFR)
Assistant Ref 2:G. Garner (RFU)
TMO : S. Veldsman (SARU)
15. Zane Kirchner , 14. Bryan Habana , 13. Jaco Taute , 12. Jean de Villiers (c) , 11. Francois Hougaard , 10. Johan Goosen , 9. Ruan Pienaar , 8. Duane Vermeulen , 7. Willem Alberts , 6. Francois Louw , 5. Andries Bekker , 4. Eben Etzebeth , 3. Jannie du Plessis , 2. Adriaan Strauss , 1. Tendai Mtawarira
Replacements: , 16. Tiaan Liebenberg , 17. Coenie Oosthuizen , 18. Flip van der Merwe s , 19. Marcell Coetzee , 20. Elton Jantjies , 21. Juan de Jongh , 22. Pat Lambie
1. Tony Woodcock , 2. Andrew Hore , 3. Owen Franks , 4. Brodie Retallick , 5. Samuel Whitelock , 6. Liam Messam , 7. Richie McCaw – captain , 8. Kieran Read , 9. Aaron Smith , 10. Daniel Carter , 11. Hosea Gear , 12. Ma’a Nonu , 13. Conrad Smith , 14. Cory Jane , 15. Israel Dagg.
Replacements: 16. Keven Mealamu , 17. Ben Franks , 18. Luke Romano , 19. Adam Thomson , 20. Piri Weepu , 21. Aaron Cruden , 22. Tamati Ellison
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Article source: http://www.worldcupweb.com/rugby/news/viewarticle.asp?id=36650